Fair Value

What's it really worth? Retail vs. real market — honestly.

Chrono24 and WatchCharts tell you what a watch is listed for. Fair Value tells you something harder and more useful — whether the price in front of you is right. Retail versus real market, in plain English, from a referee with no watch to sell you.

Figures in USD.

Choose a reference

$
Audemars Piguet Royal Oak Selfwinding 41Ref. 15510ST · steel · blue dial
Current production
Retail
$31,900AP official · La Côte des Montres, Feb 2026
Real market
$42,000 – $50,0002025–26 auction results (Christie's, Phillips, Sotheby's) + WatchCharts aggregated market value, Jul 2026. Full-set steel, standard dial.
Gap over retail
≈ +44%

Confidence: medium· Updated 8 Jul 2026
Find this at a verified AP dealer →

…or use it as a benchmark wherever you buy.

Sources

How to read this: STW's independent estimate of fair market value, drawn from retail, secondary-market transaction & listing data and auction results. Not a dealer quote — no dealer on STW is bound by or offering this price. A benchmark to help you buy fairly, wherever you buy.

HOW WE BUILD THE NUMBER

We only cover references where we have both usable public data and dealers we'd route you to — right now, five grails. We start from official retail (or the last retail, for discontinued references), then read the real market from what watches actually change hands for: public auction results where they exist, and aggregated transaction and listing data where they don't. We never present a listing (asking) price as a sold price, every figure is dated, and each reference carries a confidence flag so you can see how firm the number is.

A stale price is a lie, so we build only as many references as we can keep current, and refresh them on a cadence. More grails — including the Patek Nautilus 5711 — join as their data becomes solid enough to stand behind. Questions or spot a number that looks off? hello@storiestowatch.com.

Behind the curtain

Now you know what's fair. The next move is finding one — from someone worth trusting.

Enter the Watch Finder →